Françoise Hardy "Parlez-moi de lui"

Georgia need Katie Melua back

Someone has looked at a whole bundle of ratings and come up with a Top 37 for Eurovision 2014. It's also a quick way to remind yourself of who does what.



I won't spoil the surprise as to the Top 3 but if Poland make #10 in the real thing I will be amazed! Apart from that, and a couple of much lower placings than I would predict for Denmark and Azerbaijan, each of which I reckon stands a serious chance of winning, this is an interesting little guide.

This is, of course, definitely not an Official Top 37! There won't ever be a Top 37 - just a Top 26 once the Semi Final eliminations have been completed. So Georgia won't actually be #37. Call Katie, folks, and see if she's free for 2015.

Denmark could win with a cliché

Armenia still stand as favourites but Sweden is now firmly established as a challenger, Armenia's odds widening while Sweden's narrow. The host country, Denmark, though have seen the greatest move and I still think they have the catchiest number and stand a very good chance of achieving the double.

United Kingdom look like having their best finish for years. Top 7 would seem pretty sure as things are at the moment. The lyrics really are terrible, though. At least Denmark admit to clichés.

After listening to the main contenders again today I see Azerbaijan and Belgium doing better than current predictions and, in particular back Spain and The Netherlands for surprise Top 10 places. Armenia will be up there, for sure, but I don't think it is at all clear who will win this year.

Betting odds shown are digital and from Betfair at 5pm BST today.

Sophie Ellis-Bextor sings Pulp. Marvellous.

If the video doesn't show here use this link to see it on the BBC's site. Seems to be  problem with the embed code.

The other side of the competition

According to the Eurovision.tv official site, this is where the contest will be held this year. What an ugly couple of buildings! I can only presume the (uncredited) photographer has found a strange rear view or something. No doubt beautifully furnished and decorated inside but if acts arrive and get this as a first view expect to see some gloomy faces at rehearsals. 

Balkan Blues At Eurovision 2014

The latest movements in betting odds for this year. Armenia still way out in front but Sweden has closed considerably with a good song by probably the prettiest girl in the competition. Nice to see United Kingdom with a predicted #5 place.

My own predicted Top 10, before allowing for good neighbourly voting, is:

Denmark
Sweden
Armenia
UK
Azerbaijan
Belgium
Spain
Netherlands
Germany
Norway

You may notice an absence of Balkan nations here. Only Slovenia has a hope. Neither Serbia nor Bosnia Herzegovina have entered and they usually do pretty well and collect votes from each other. Macedonia and Montenegro have dreadful performances this year. That may well mean that Slovenia do well, collecting good votes from all their friends as the only viable entry for the region. so they may make the Top Ten.

I have also put in Spain and Netherlands, both distinct outsiders at the moment. Spain have the excellent Ruth Lorenzo performing their track and I am sure she will do much better than the bookies seem to think. Netherlands have a really cool folksy track that reminds me of Alison Krauss & Robert Plant. It is actually one of the few interesting and really well-written songs. Belgium have another - a bit old-fashioned but it's another one where if the guy performs really well then it will get loads of votes.

If I have to drop one to let Slovenia in due to neighbourly voting then it would be Germany. Their girls may not meet with everyone's approval, although it's a good entry.

The Big Five Eurovision Finalists

Denmark

'I love a cliche love song'. Great line for Eurovision. There is a Bruno Mars feel about this, not that he would want to admit to having anything to do with this. Just as you thinkit's over, it starts up again. Quite a good track, actually. It's fun and, if well-performed livethis is lmost certain to make the Top 10. Win? Maybe, It could do as well.

Germany

This is a classy performance and a well-written song too. Germany really have got the general idea of this competition now. I can't see this winning and it may be a bit too left field to get support across the board but I wish them well.

United Kingdom

I have posted the video before but if I add it here it will get considered on the same level and at the same time as the others. It is one of our better entries, for sure. It does need that echo, though, and a fatter sound that I can't see being achieved easily on the Eurovision stage live. 'Power To The people' always gets at least a few votes from people around the world so Molly will be safely lifted up at lkeast to the left hand side of the board. I see us making Top 10 this year and, yes, it has an outside chance if she performs really really well and several others don't

France

Please. I want to have a moustache. No I don't. We have a singer that Jedward's PR people should sue and some very nice girls doing some dancing and that is about it. Oh, there's a song. But it's rubbish.

Spain

Well, it has taken all this time but the penultimate track that I hear sounds like the one that really could make it. It helps that I have total confidence in the singer, X Factor 2008's Ruth Lorenzo, who will always be remembered for her marvellous Purple Rain so we have half of this track Dancing In The Rain put safely home already. She is a great singer and this is also a brilliant song that will appeal across many mentions. perhaps the younger fans won't vote for her but this the one to challenge Armenia. She made 5th place in X Factor. She might make Top 5 again.

Italy

One of the few genuinely sexy performers, this girl does Italy proud with a strong performance but it's a bland song. Better than very many and they should pick up the youth vote that Denmark haven't already bagged.