Italy's guy has not performed well so far so, unless he can pull something exceptional out of the bag on Saturday night I fear that instead of being a possible winner he may not even make Top 10.
Australia remain my first choice for the #1 spot but watch out now for Norway and, as a very long shot, North Macedonia, who I have been hinting should do well for a long time. That's a possible Top 3 with only Iceland likely to upset the party.
For Top 5 expect to see Russia or The Netherlands join the leaders.
For Top 10, add Sweden, Azerbaijan, Switzerland and Czech Republic
Clearly this flies in the face of the bookies, with North Macedonia out at a crazy 560-1 as I write! The Netherlands are 6-4 on to win. Even Norway are out at 70-1. It's like everyone has bet on The Netherlands and so the bookies' calculators have had to produce this amazing range of odds for everyone else.
I don't recall just one entry being so far ahead since France some years ago. they were seemingly bound to win but on the night a poor performance that simply did not match the video at all left them floundering way down on the right hand side of the board. Loreen was always looking likely but she did still have some others in close competition in the betting at this stage.
If we can swallow the fact that The Netherlands may not win, after all, then I can imagine any of another ten acts winning if the perform well on the night and catch voters' attention (and have already bagged a decent jury vote). so, unless the bookies have seen the jury votes and they show The Netherlands as so far ahead as to be almost unstoppable, I think this will be a close one to call.
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